What a glorious time to be alive… Football Saturdays are back and what a wild Saturday it was. Blowouts featuring the powers of FBS bringing ITT Tech into submission, clearance parties, RANKED teams going head-to-head and more… let’s unpack what we saw yesterday.
Anthony Richardson and Florida: The big question this week was, could Utah hit the road and win in the scorching confines of the Swamp? Answer: No… The squares that put down the 3 with the road favorite were punished and it has a lot to do with the Florida QB. Anthony Richardson was great at making shots with his arms and legs. He rushed for 108 yards on 11 carries and three touchdowns and made Michael Vick-type plays. I’ve said many times in my previews for this preseason that one of the things people have to watch out for is Richardson and Billy Napier. AR is the best quarterback Florida has had since Tim Tebow. Remember, that was a long time ago and Gator fans have had to deal with Austin Appelby, Malik Zaire and Treon Harris ever since. The defense played hard and made a huge play in the bowels of the game. It was clear by watching that the crowd played a major role and should be celebrated for its atmosphere. It’s clear the offseason hiring Napier will pay off big. Looks like the culture in Florida might be back and if the QB keeps doing stuff like that, who knows how far he can go?
UNDER bettors: Generally, most people don’t want to bet UNDERS. Nobody likes to put down roots so they don’t score, but for Saturday it paid off. Of the 56 total games yesterday, 30 went under the close number, 25 went over and one game was pushed which was UTEP/Oklahoma. An UNDER bettor has made 2.50 units of profit if let’s say he bets $10 per unit, win-loss/vig= nice little profit. Additionally, some of the games that people considered higher scores went under, including Notre Dame/Ohio St, Alabama/Utah St, and Buffalo/Maryland. The 12h window for UNDER bettors was particularly profitable with 8-1. The only plus was the wild North Carolina/App St. A game that saw 124 points and 62 total points in the 4th quarter.
Favourites: As usual in the first two weeks of football, many powerful teams face small D1 schools and FCS programs. The Saturday favorites finished 34-22 in 56 games for 61%. A very good profit if you all bet blind. There has also been no upheaval when it comes to the big favourites. The biggest dog to win was the Delaware Blue Hens as 12-point dogs against the Navy. They were +380 on the money line. From what I saw, the biggest favorite on the board was Miami who went 51 against lowly Bethune Cookman. They rolled 70-13. Shout out Danny Boy Cane.
Georgia is still REALLY good: how about that fucking beating? What a pathetic effort from Oregon. Then again, Eugene’s QB is Bo Nix, did anyone really think he would play well? He was a miserable failure throwing 2 interceptions, throwing for just 173 yards in a game in which they were blown and had a 58.9 QBR. I want to give this Georgia defense most of the credit though. They are still amazing even after losing so much. Replacing 7 starters is not an easy task. They stole, forced turnovers and caused a lot of havoc. Will they be as good historically as they were last year? Probably not, but they will be close and still top 5 in defense. Stetson Bennett was also talked about yesterday and had perhaps the best day of any quarterback in the country. He went 25-31 with 368 yards and had 2 passing touchdowns as well as a rushing TD. I mean… this piece was something:
East Carolina practice and special teams overall: Look, I’m not quite okay with hitting a kicker or something when they miss, but the loss for ECU carries a lot blame everyone. Kicker first as we know misses an extra point to tie the game. Some blame has to go to the holder with the laces facing him as he kicked. Then they get the ball back with about 2 minutes to go, as the defense did several times yesterday, bailing out the attack. QB Holten Ahlers was then trained very badly in my opinion. Head Coach Mike Houston played TIMID and settled in. Case in point after a 35-yard completion to one of the fastest players in the nation, Keaton Mitchell, ECU was at NC State 33 with 1:49 to go. Over the next 1:40 they only gained 9 yards, playing the ball conservatively. They did not attempt a pass. It’s like Houston doesn’t know a first down stops the clock, or a spike. They had plenty of time to move the ball upfield and take a few shots in the end zone. They did not do it. How he was so confident of a kicker who clearly didn’t feel like it yesterday is beyond me. It’s not like they were close either. In the end, ECU settled for a 41-yard field goal, barely automatic for a college kicker. Look, ECU long term can take a lot of positives out of the game. They outplayed a really good team, the defense was good and Ahlers/Mitchell and WR CJ Johnson looked good. But losing this way should never happen.
Scott Satterfield: Louisville was knocked out 31-7 last night on the road at Syracuse. Orange’s new offensive look has sliced and cut a poor Cardinal defense and it’s time to lean on Scott Satterfield. It was a flat performance. Malik Cunnigham hasn’t really signed up for much and this program is outdated. They don’t seem to have much identity and the defense is poor. Satterfield is 18-20 right now in Louisville and the chain seems to be wearing thin. It was a listless performance
The ugly one:
South Dakota/Iowa State: 10 combined points, 21 combined punts, 2 safeties, no touchdowns in the game and 14 penalties. What more should I say? Iowa takes the win 7-3. Jackrabbits hedge easily.
South Florida still sucks: One of the question marks yesterday was how BYU would fare in very humid Tampa. They answered all questions blowing the Bulls 50-21. The line in play was surprisingly low at 12.5 and many thought, including the sharps, that USF would freeze because of what exactly? Was Gerry Bohannon going to be the saviour? He wasn’t, he was awful, and they only had 279 total yards. What was most pathetic was the defense. They were split in the first half, giving up big play after big play en route to losing 28-0. In the end, they were down 38-7 at halftime. The BYU defense even got involved with a pick six. It could be another long year in Tampa and I look at myself in shame after not playing this one yesterday.
It was only WEEK 1… See you next week for week 2